Source evergreen
Outcome bias in decision evaluation
Five studies showing that knowledge of an outcome can change how people evaluate the quality of a prior decision even when the decision maker had the same information at the time.
#outcome-bias
Tags gather notes that currently share a label. They are not a curriculum or a claim that the notes agree.
Encounter growing
A good decision with a bad outcome
A case for examining reasonable preparation, accepted risk, and an outcome that still went badly.
Encounter growing
A bad decision rescued by luck
A case for recognising that favourable results can hide weak reasoning and fragile dependence on chance.